MILITARY MANAGEMENT QUARTERLY

MILITARY MANAGEMENT QUARTERLY

Identifying the drivers of defense industries of the Islamic Republic of Iran with the approach of preemptively facing regional and extra-regional threats in the horizon of 2029

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors
Khalil Koulivand 1
Hamed Lashgarara 2
Ebrahim Ijabi 3
Morteza Anoosheh 4
1 PhD student of futures studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran.
2 Master's student in Defense Futures Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Command University and Headquarters of the Islamic Republic of Iran Army, Tehran, Iran.
3 teacher
4 Assistant Professor, Department of Futures Studies, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran.
10.22034/iamu.2024.2005878.2903
Abstract
Today, the defense industry of the country has become an objective and practical model for other industries of the country, and this industry plays a vital role as the most strategic industries of the country according to its model and structure. Therefore, the current research was conducted with the aim of identifying the defense drivers of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which will play a major role in the pre-emptive confrontation in the horizon of 2029. The type of applied research, in terms of nature and method, is an exploratory description that has been carried out with a mixed approach. The method of selecting the statistical population in a purposeful way and sampling in the form of full population includes 43 professors of armed forces universities and military commanders with at least 5 years of service experience in strategic jobs. The method of collecting information was by conducting scientific and specialized library studies, using brainstorming methods and interviewing experts. In the first stage of the work, 36 drivers were identified, and with the opinion of the sample community, 18 important and effective drivers were separated and recorded in the interaction analysis matrix and MicMac software. Finally, according to the experts' opinion, six drivers of fundamental technological innovations, contracts for the purchase of military weapons, financial and human resources, reproduction of defense and military technologies, international interactions of the countries of the region, and technology monopoly of the superpowers were identified as the most effective drivers.
Keywords
Driver Forces
Defense Industry
Pre-emptive Confrontation
Regional Threats
Extra-regional Threats
Subjects
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